Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.8%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert6. Jan. 26, 22:59 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Did "Elon Musk and Russia participate in election interference via Starlink"?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold Markets[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsX banned in any European country by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk physically enters Russian territory at any point during 2026.
- This includes any Russian city, region, or territory (with the exclusion of ceded/contested Ukrainian territory).
- Resolution will be based on credible
- Musk has allegedly been in regular contact with Russian President Vladimir Putin since 2022, though the Kremlin has denied frequent communications, claiming only one telephone call occurred.
- Putin's international cooperation envoy has expressed interest in teaming up with Musk, saying discussions could take place "in the near future", with proposals involving space cooperation and Mars missions.
