Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 57.1%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet4. Sept. 25, 00:04 UTC3. Feb. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSecond place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
LimitlessRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolve YES if, as of 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2030, Dubai has a strictly higher number of completed skyscrapers (buildings ≥150 m) than New York City, per the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat (CTBUH) “Skyscraper Center” city pages for Dubai and New York City (city proper, not metro).
- Links: Dubai and New York City.
- If these pages are inaccessible or lack explicit counts, use Wikipedia’s “List of cities with the most skyscrapers – By city proper,” which reproduces CTBUH counts; if the two sources conflict, CTBUH prevails.
- Ties (equal counts) resolve NO.
- Buildings count only if CTBUH lists them as “Completed” by the cutoff; later reclassifications visible at resolution time are honored.
