Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2029 70.4%Führend unter 6 Optionen
2029 70.4%Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet18. Aug. 24, 12:20 UTC1. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
Either private ownership, or available as robotaxis etc.
- Limited trials may or may not count at my discretion; a service with a waitlist like Waymo had until recently will be counted as long as it's possible for a normal person to get on said waitlist.
- The year when they first become available and all years after it that have been added as answers on the market will resolve YES.