Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75.2%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet2. Nov. 23, 00:34 UTC2. Jan. 30, 05:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
