Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 67.4%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 08:25 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Nevada Governor Election Winner
PolymarketTexas Governor Election Winner
PolymarketOregon Governor Election Winner
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 New Mexico Governor's Election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.8pt95%
- Yes-13.8pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+1.9pt20.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.4pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 189,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt12.2%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 67% (Stand: 16. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? entschieden?
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins