Will credible evidence emerge linking Tulsi Gabbard to Putin before 2030?
PolitikOne-OffWahlGeopolitikRussland / Ukraine3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 63.4%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
14. Nov. 24, 22:48 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will credible evidence emerge linking Richard David Precht to Putin before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill credible evidence emerge linking Sahra Wagenknecht to Putin before 2030?
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2030
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?
KalshiWill Tulsi Gabbard win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolves YES if credible evidence emerges that Gabbard worked for Russia at any point in time after 24.02.2022 during the Russian invasion of Ukraine (possibly but not necessarily still ongoing in 2030).
- I will not bet on this market.
- Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only credible evidence of an actual working relationship counts for YES resolution.
- Acceptable evidence includes:
- Evidence of handling, compensation, or tasking
- A confession
