Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlGeopolitikChina9JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.7%
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
7. Sept. 26, 06:08 UTC31. Dez. 35, 23:59 UTC
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There could be many potential reasons, one is that AGI could become extremely dominating militarily in a way that gives the state high (bargaining) powers
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2035, at 11:59 PM PT, California has officially seceded from the United States or is otherwise formally recognized as an independent, sovereign nation-state separate from the United States federal government.
- To resolve to YES, at least one of the following conditions must be met:
- De Facto Sovereignty (similar to Taiwan): California successfully establishes full military and political autonomy, completely voids U.S. federal jurisdiction over its territory, and obtains formal diplomatic recognition as an independent state from the United States or admission as a member state of the United Nations.
- Federal Recognition: The United States federal government officially recognizes California's secession and sovereign independence through an Act of Congress, a ratified constitutional amendment, or a binding Supreme Court ruling.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? entschieden?
- Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? soll am 31. Dezember 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: There could be many potential reasons, one is that AGI could become extremely dominating militarily in a way that gives the state high (bargaining) powers