Wenn Donald Trump 2024 gewinnt, wird bis zum Ende seiner Amtszeit 2025 ein Krieg zwischen China und den USA stattgefunden haben?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlGeopolitikChina2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.8%
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Veraltet10. Dez. 23, 12:03 UTC1. Feb. 29, 22:59 UTC
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War as defined by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program is "A state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year"
- This will resolve YES for any war in which China and the USA are directly and kinetically involved on opposing sides.
- "Wins in 2024" refers to the 2024 presidential election.
- If Trump loses, this market will be refunded.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/if-joe-biden-wins-in-2024-will-a-wa)
