Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 23, 05:49 UTC1. Jan. 30, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich living current/former US president will die first?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegeln
The death must take place after market creation and before market close.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? entschieden?
- Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The death must take place after market creation and before market close.