Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJoe Biden 51.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet15. Nov. 25, 19:10 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any current or former US president go to space before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAny US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting or former US President be killed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.
- Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).
- The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.
- If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list.
- Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.
