Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl16J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.8%
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert25. Juni 24, 02:31 UTC21. Jan. 43, 06:59 UTC
Trends
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The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met or the office of President of the United States is abolished.
- For purposes of this market, "openly gay man" and "woman" describe someone who identifies as a such at the time of the respective event.
- If an individual became President of the United States and then only later identified as an "openly gay man" or "woman" after leaving the Presidency, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a
