Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose❌ NO — No AI-generated song reaches #1 during 2026. 94.4%Führend unter 3 Optionen
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7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet3. Aug. 25, 18:30 UTC2. Jan. 27, 16:41 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2027 be composed by AI?
Manifold MarketsWill a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
Manifold Markets"Shroom Clouds" by A$AP Rocky, reggie, and Jeremih · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)
Kalshi"Tom and Jerry" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if a song primarily created using AI (e.g. lyrics, vocals, melody, or composition) reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 at any time during 2026.
- The AI must have played a core creative role.
- Human involvement is allowed (e.g. mixing, mastering, or marketing).
- The song must be publicly acknowledged as AI-generated by the artist, label, or reliable media.
- Covers or remixes of non-AI songs do not count.
- Resolves NO if no such song reaches #1 by December 31, 2026.
