Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 71%
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74
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet14. März 23, 23:02 UTC14. März 33, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence (AI) policy be an explicitly partisan political issue before 2030 🤖🇺🇸⚖️💻
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWho IPOs first?
MyriadWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Some singularitarians and transhumanists seem to have an almost childlike naivete about economic growth.
- No matter how fast AI develops technology, if politicians and government bureaucrats place enough roadblocks in the way of new technology, it won't be able to solve the problems it's supposed to solve.
- For example, in the UK, the planning system has made it almost impossible to build new onshore wind turbines and solar farms, and has even made it more difficult to build new offshore wind turbines:
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fCLHfjNTldQ)So at a certain point, politics becomes the limiting factor, not technology.
- In the UK, it won't matter how good wind turbine technology gets, if NIMBYs can still block most wind turbines from ever being erected.
- In California, it won't matter how good prefabricated home technology gets and how good house-building robots get, if NIMBYs can still block most new housing from ever being constructed.
Offene Märkte
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 566.630,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 548.352,4 €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? entschieden?
- Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? soll am 14. März 2033 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Some singularitarians and transhumanists seem to have an almost childlike naivete about economic growth.