Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81%
Prognostiker
109
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
13. Jan. 26, 16:44 UTC31. Dez. 26, 16:42 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send troops to help Iran within the next 24 months?
Manifold MarketsIf a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketSyrian troops enter Yemen by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- ‼️This market resolves YES if the United States deploys ground troops to Iran.
- Trump has stated that military intervention "doesn't mean boots on the ground," suggesting that airstrikes, cyber operations, or other non-ground-based military actions would not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO if no U.S. ground troops are deployed to Iran by December 31, 2026‼️.
- Nationwide protests began on December 28, 2025, when merchants at Tehran's Grand Bazaar closed their shops over the Iranian rial's plummeting value, and demonstrations quickly spread nationwide with grievances evolving from economic concerns to broader opposition against Iran's clerical establishment.
- Violence in the country has led to dozens of deaths and arrests.
