Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
PolitikGeopolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikNaher Osten2Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69%
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet7. März 26, 15:21 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCivil War in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the war with Iran affect USD reserve currency status relative to yuan?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the U.S. declare war on next?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Congress formally declares war on Iran through a joint resolution, as specified in Article One, Section Eight of the Constitution.
- Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war since World War II, instead relying on authorizations for use of military force (AUMFs).
- For this market, only a formal declaration of war legislation explicitly using the phrase "declaration of war" counts as YES.
- An AUMF or military action without a formal declaration resolves NO.
- The market resolves by December 31,
