Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029
RegulierungOne-OffKITechnikKapitalmaßnahmen2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet10. Juni 25, 22:57 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegeln
YES CRITERIA
- Acquisition – Amazon (or a wholly owned subsidiary) completes a purchase giving it >50 % of Anthropic voting equity.
- Acqui‑hire – A mainstream business/tech news outlet explicitly describes Amazon’s action as an “acqui‑hire” of Anthropic.
- Majority‑stake investment – Amazon raises its fully‑diluted voting stake to ≥50 %.
- The date that the ≥50 % threshold is first crossed determines timing.
- Multiple transactions may add up.
