Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 95.6%
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet15. Jan. 25, 12:12 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), employers predict that 42% of tasks will be automated by 2027.
- However, this refers to individual tasks rather than entire jobs.
- Forrester Research projects that nearly 15 million new jobs will be created in the U.S. by 2027, particularly in areas like engineering, software, design, maintenance, support, and training.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if by January 1, 2027:
- All remote jobs that do not legally require a human worker have been fully automated by AI systems
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027? entschieden?
- Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), employers predict that 42% of tasks will be automated by 2027.