Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 80.1%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet2. Dez. 24, 02:19 UTC2. Jan. 35, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will another terrorist attack on par with 9/11 be made on the U.S?
Manifold MarketsWill a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
Manifold MarketsWill Laura Loomer’s terrorist attack prediction be correct?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill South Korea have a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Russia attack a NATO member in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Nuclear terrorism has been a concern since the end of the Cold War, particularly regarding the security of nuclear materials from the former Soviet Union.
- While no terrorist group has successfully detonated a nuclear weapon to date, experts continue to monitor this threat.
- Building or acquiring a nuclear weapon requires highly enriched uranium or plutonium, which are tightly controlled materials.
- Most nuclear power plants use low-enriched uranium, which is not suitable for weapons.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if a terrorist group or individual successfully detonates a nuclear weapon (fission or fusion bomb) before January 1, 2035.
