Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 56.5%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet5. Dez. 24, 15:27 UTC9. Nov. 28, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
The MSM means any one of the mainstream, non-conservative American news outlets, NYTimes, WaPo, CNN, MSNBC, etc. Outlets considered right-leaning like Fox News, WSJ, or the NYPost do not count.
- The MSM will have to report on the accusation in a supportive or neutral manner; if they report that online trolls are falsely accusing him of something, it does not count.
- "Sexual Impropriety" means anything the MSM considers sexually improper, regardless of whether it is illegal or not.
- If Newsom tells a "sexist joke" and the MSM deems that "sexual harassment," that would count.
- On the other hand, if the MSM says it was a harmless joke and not sexual harassment, it would not count.
- The standard here is what the MSM says, not law or objective ethics.
