Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 71%
Ja 71%Prognostiker
37
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet10. Apr. 23, 18:45 UTC31. Dez. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins the 2024 election, will a human walk on the Moon by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsMajority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2031.
- (The 2030 market has a large amount of No positions even at 80%, so let's see where people become sure it'll happen!)
- I keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here: @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
- @/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882
- Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026
