Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseGavin Newsom 71.6%Führend unter 19 Optionen
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet12. Dez. 25, 22:34 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic candidate for president win every state that has a Democratic senator?
Manifold Markets2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
KalshiWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsSouth Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketIf this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any candidate who finishes in the top 2 (first or second place) in any single state's Democratic primary election.(by popular vote, not delegates) The 2028 presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028, with primaries occurring in the months prior.
- Resolution will be determined by official state primary results published by state election authorities and major news outlets covering the 2028 Democratic primary.
- Note: Democrats have no clear presidential primary calendar for 2028, so the specific states and timing remain to be determined by the DNC.
- Must be a STATE!
- Democrats Abroad,American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, US Virgin Islands,