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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
Manifold Markets

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?

One-OffPolitikUS Politics2J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
J D Vance 53.2%
Führend unter 14 Optionen
Prognostiker

69

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert gestern

Veraltet
12. Dez. 25, 22:3031. Dez. 28, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

J D Vance53%

Regeln

Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.

Manifold Markets
  • Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
  • This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
  • Must get over 5% to count.
  • If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
  • A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,901.58+2.81%EthereumETH$1,659.28+2.18%SolanaSOL$65.35+2.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.96%BNBBNB$596.68+2.07%

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Regeln

Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.

Manifold Markets
  • Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
  • This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
  • Must get over 5% to count.
  • If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
  • A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.