Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States?
Politik
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 46.4%Führend unter 22 Optionen
Other 46.4%Prognostiker
53
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-14.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 23, 09:54 UTC2. Jan. 50, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Resolves to the next individual to at any point be both be simultaniously the president of the United States and affiliated with the Democratic party by the year 2050.
- Unnessisarly specific market rules:
- This market exludes any individuals who have already met this requirement.
- E.g. this market will not resolve on January 20th 2024 if Biden were to win re-election (and in the very unlikely event that Jimmy Carter were to somehow be nominated, re-elected, and survive long enough to be inagurated on January 20th this market would also not resolve).
- However it's technically possible for this market to resolve to other past presidents like Trump or George H. W. Bush if for some strange reason either of the two were to change their party affilation as neither have already met the above requirement (as would any individual elected as a Republican who were to change their party affiliation to Democrat midterm).
- It's also worth noting that this market does not have to resolve to an elected president of the United states (e.g. this market would resolve to the named outcome if she were to assume presidency before the next election).
