Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseStephen 85.3%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet25. Nov. 23, 06:05 UTC2. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiInk FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRegeln
It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold.
- Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit.
- Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last.
- This market resolves to that person.
- (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)
- Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company.