Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseChuck Grassley 74%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet26. Aug. 24, 15:23 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of the United States die in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin die in office?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.
- Each answer will Resolve YES if the person died in an eligible position of power, and NO if they aren’t in office at the time of their death.
- Eligible seats of power:
- US Congress-person (not state congress)
- State Governor
- President, VP, or Cabinet Member (see full list)
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt61%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt38%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 133,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 712.396 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.7pt91%
- Republican Party-0.4pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 687.097,2 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 194,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 625.661,5 €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt54%
- Nithya Raman+9.0pt46%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 504.023,7 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.5pt8.2%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.7pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.9pt13%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Chuck Grassley mit 74% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 entschieden?
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.