Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 79%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
103
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet3. Okt. 23, 01:15 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegeln
Popularity determined by some form of "active users". e.g. users who have made at least 1 post in the past year.
- The exact metric will be determined by what sites choose to report and what can reasonably be estimated.
- If a site is renamed, this resolves to the old name.
- If two sites merge, this resolves to the name of the new one if it kept an old name, or to the one that was bigger prior to the merge if not.
- If you'd like a new site added, ask me and I'll add it.
- (You'll need to managram me M$25.)
