Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Rhode Island's 2nd District?
0.9 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202616T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocratic Party — Seth Magaziner 95%-0.9ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
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4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 06:18 UTC4. Nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
