Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 24.06.2026, 04:24 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Democrats 84%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 33 Tagen
Veraltet31. März 26, 6:453. Nov. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republicans16%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democrats
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 84% | — | — | — | vor 33 Tagen | |
 PredictIt84% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 80% | — | — | — | vor 20 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Michigan?
6Mon
80%
20%
1%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegeln
Update 2026-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Mike Duggan wins as an independent, the market will resolve N/A.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Update 2026-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Mike Duggan wins as an independent, the market will resolve N/A.