Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Liberal Democrats 32.3%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet1. Apr. 25, 11:44 UTC30. Juli 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If this person is leader of the Conservatives going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Cons?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?
Manifold MarketsIf the Prime Minister is a member of the party endorsed by the Economist in the next UK general election, who?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the party that The Economist magazine explicitly endorses in its editorial for the next UK General Election after the July 2024 election.
- If The Economist endorses a coalition rather than a single party, the market resolves to "the named outcome." If The Economist does not make an explicit endorsement, the market resolves to "the named outcome."
- The Economist has a history of making political endorsements in UK elections:
- Historically, The Economist has often endorsed the Conservative Party
- In 2001 and 2005, it endorsed Labour under Tony Blair
