Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAlaska 45%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert15. Jan. 26, 19:45 UTC1. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Manifold rated Lean D senate races will Democrats win?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Closeness will be defined as margin of victory.
- I chose these 5 because I think they will be the closest and I don't have enough mana to make more.
- I'm too lazy to write context, you know what elections are I assume.
- I set resolution date late because results took awhile in 2024 for senate I remember, idk I might change it.
