PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Texas 84%+4.0ptFührend unter 18 Optionen
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1223,4 €
Liquidität
163.077,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+4.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
29. Juli 26, 18:41 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiRegeln
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.