Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseIBM 26.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 25, 08:58 UTC1. Jan. 30, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?
Manifold MarketsWill a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet IBM mit 27% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? entschieden?
- Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.