Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
TechnikWissenschaft3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseIBM 26.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
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Veraltet8. Apr. 25, 08:58 UTC1. Jan. 30, 00:00 UTC
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This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
