Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
US PoliticsPolitik3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseClarence Thomas 9.3%Führend unter 9 Optionen
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This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).
- The Justices, in-order of time on the court, along with their ages and the party that appointed them:
- the named outcome (76, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Republican)
- the named outcome (75, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Democrat)
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Clarence Thomas mit 9% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).