FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93%
Nein 93%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
820,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Louisiana Amendment 4 (lifetime term limit for governor) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This event predicts whether binding term limits for justices of the Supreme Court of the United States will be enacted at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted federal legislation or constitutional amendments establishing such limits.
- If binding term limits for Supreme Court justices are enacted during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Term limits applying only to future justices, and not affecting current justices, will still count as "Yes".
- If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. legal or national news organizations.
