Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2026 30.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 25, 22:57 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla Cybertruck be available in Europe?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on official announcements from Tesla or verifiable reports of the Cybertruck's discontinuation.
- The discontinuation date will be considered the earliest date when:
- Rebrand: The product name is changed to something substantially other than Cybertruck, OR
- Discontinuation: Tesla officially announces the end of Cybertruck production with no plans to restart, OR
- Internal stealth discontinuation: Tesla takes internal steps to permanently wind down production (e.g. permanently stands down factory lines, switches to selling off existing inventory, reassigns all team members, even if they don’t announce publicly), OR
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.0pt82.2%
- Yes+1.0pt17.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 204.057,1 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt35%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.443 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 892.915,9 €
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt94%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6166,9 €
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2026 mit 31% (Stand: 11. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? entschieden?
- When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria