Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2026 Q4 20.4%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 41 Minuten
10. Aug. 25, 12:05 UTC2. Okt. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of these series will EVER have games on Nintendo Switch 2?
Manifold MarketsWhich specific games from other platforms will be announced for Nintendo Switch 2 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many units in total will the Nintendo Switch 2 have sold by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nintendo Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo Switch by 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolve to the calendar quarter (JST) in which Nintendo first confirms that production of all Nintendo Switch (Switch, Switch – OLED Model, and Switch Lite) has ended for Japan.
- If Nintendo issues only “will end production” language with a future date, resolve using the stated effective date.
- If pages update without visible dates, use the earliest reliable press coverage that quotes/archives the Nintendo page.
- (Example precedent: Nintendo announced Wii U domestic production end via its site, then press reported it.)
- Close date is provisional, more options will be added if 2027 Q4 gets close and production has not ended.