Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2026 Q4 20.4%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet10. Aug. 25, 12:05 UTC2. Okt. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of these series will EVER have games on Nintendo Switch 2?
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KalshiWhich specific games from other platforms will be announced for Nintendo Switch 2 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many units in total will the Nintendo Switch 2 have sold by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nintendo Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo Switch by 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolve to the calendar quarter (JST) in which Nintendo first confirms that production of all Nintendo Switch (Switch, Switch – OLED Model, and Switch Lite) has ended for Japan.
- If Nintendo issues only “will end production” language with a future date, resolve using the stated effective date.
- If pages update without visible dates, use the earliest reliable press coverage that quotes/archives the Nintendo page.
- (Example precedent: Nintendo announced Wii U domestic production end via its site, then press reported it.)
- Close date is provisional, more options will be added if 2027 Q4 gets close and production has not ended.