Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 21.07.2026, 14:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2026 99.6%+0.5ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
83
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen
Veraltet10. Juli 24, 9:3631. März 29, 22:59
Trends
0.1%
0%
99.6%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
20240%
Verwandte Märkte
Clacton by-election Winner
54.446,3 €Nigel Farage: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
16.515,2 €Ja: 41%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETClacton by-election: Turnout
13.377,4 €20k-30k: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
536,4 €Conservatives: 13.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
524,4 €Yes, full recount: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
427,9 €Ja: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Keir Starmer is the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
- The years since the Brexit referendum have been characterised by massive instability at the top of British politics.
- First David Cameron resigned, then Theresa May called a snap election, lost her majority and was removed by her party.
- She was replaced by Boris Johnson, but he struggled to keep Parliament running after he expelled a number of his own MPs and was forced to call a snap election himself.
- He won a stable majority and people were predicting that he could stay on as Prime Minister for a decade...
- But within two years he had been brought by scandal and his party replaced him with Liz Truss.