Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
30k-40k 42.1%-4.5ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
67,5 €
Liquidität
27.801,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-8.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
17. Juli 26, 20:0213. Aug. 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
30k-40k45%
Volumentrend
$7717. Juli11T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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18.851,4 €Linke: 33%POLYMARKET
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Clacton by-election Winner
17.028,5 €Nigel Farage: 96%POLYMARKET
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426,9 €Ja: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
379,3 €Ja: 50.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).