Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 40%-0.0%
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
512,1 €
Liquidität
29.920,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
2.6%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
12. Mai 26, 23:506. Sept. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes40%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 61% | +21pt | 512,1 € | 29.920,9 € | vor 5 Minuten | |
 Futuur82% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 55% | +15pt | 0 € | 1842,4 € | vor 25 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 47% | +7pt | — | — | vor 15 Stunden | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 62% | +22pt | — | — | vor 16 Stunden | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
1Mon
53.4%
46.6%
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
5Mon
62%
38%
Community-Prognose45 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Futuur
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election?
1Mon
55%
45%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen36,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.