Dieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Entschieden: 30.06.2026, 14:13
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseBy May 31st 0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
85
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Tagen
Veraltet16. Mai 26, 16:2230. Juni 26, 14:13
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· By May 31st
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 99% | — | 82.067,2 € | 293.308,8 € | vor 18 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 Polymarket82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 13.263,9 € | 0 € | vor 17 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 18 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 0% | — | — | — | vor 27 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
1.0 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Before Jul 10, 2026 (99%)
+1.0pt99%
99%
99%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen698.656,8 €
24h-Volumen82.067,2 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
GPT-5.6 released by which date?
2.3 ptsGeschlossen
+0.3pt100%
+0.8pt100%
+0.4pt100%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen3,7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen13.263,9 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
GPT 5.6 released by which date?
Geschlossen
+1.1pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose77 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.
- "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.
- Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.
- If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.8k99.7%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? — YesSomber-Icevor 18 Tagen
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? — YesSomber-Icevor 18 Tagen$1.3k99.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 10, 2026 — Yesvor 20 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Jul 10, 2026 — Yesvor 20 Tagen$2.0k99.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 9, 2026 — Novor 20 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Jul 9, 2026 — Novor 20 Tagen$1.2k93.3%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? — Nothoodrvor 21 Tagen
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? — Nothoodrvor 21 Tagen$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Noblunderbotvor 21 Tagen
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Noblunderbotvor 21 Tagen$1.1k63.3%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? — NoStraddleSellervor 23 Tagen
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? — NoStraddleSellervor 23 Tagen$2.9k98.1%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Nopulgarcito23vor 24 Tagen
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Nopulgarcito23vor 24 Tagen$13.2k99.9%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? — NoThe-Jokervor 24 Tagen
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? — NoThe-Jokervor 24 TagenVerwandte Märkte
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
59.638 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
30.762,8 €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
11.909,9 €1510: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
2090,5 €Before Jul 31, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will AMD say during their next earnings call?
1431,6 €Inference / Inferencing: 78%KALSHI
KALSHIWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1144,8 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.
- "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.
- Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.
- If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership.