Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognosebefore Mar 31, 2028 91.6%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Prognostiker
41
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet23. Aug. 25, 16:30 UTC30. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if Gavin Newsom makes an official public announcement that he is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by Newsom or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site - gavinnewsom.com).
Offene Märkte
Politics
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet before Mar 31, 2028 mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? entschieden?
- When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? soll am 30. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria