![What will Elon Musk do in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fuser-images%252Fdefault%252F6P99OS9yyA.jpg%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D136a0b3a-e8dc-42b2-b27b-c4eabd01889f&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Claim that Grok/xAI has reached AGI (a statement by Musk on X counts) 72.8%+22.8ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Claim that Grok/xAI has reached AGI (a statement by Musk on X counts) 72.8%+22.8ptPrognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+22.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet20. Okt. 26, 13:08 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
📺Which shows will still be running in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of the Community movie? [Add Responses]
Manifold Markets👟Which athletes will still be competing at a similar level or higher at EOY 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets💿Who will be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Each answer resolves independently: YES if the event happens between 1 January 2027, 00:00 UTC and 1 January 2028, 00:00 UTC; NO otherwise.
- Events before 2027 do not count.
- Each answer resolves on whether the event happens during 2027, not whether it happens for the first time.
- Actions by companies Musk leads or controls count as his.
- Sources: official company statements and regulatory filings (SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, SEC, FEC), then reputable outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, AP, WSJ; SpaceNews, NASASpaceFlight and Spaceflight Now for spaceflight answers), and Musk's own X posts where applicable.
- In case of ambiguity, I'll open a discussion before resolving.
