Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Dem +10 to Dem +20 41.3%+22.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+22.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
7. Nov. 25, 21:48 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Democratic nominee for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election
Manifold MarketsNew York Gubernatorial Election Winner
SmarketsWhich party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the Texas Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWinning party in Iowa's gubernatorial election (2026)
FutuurWinning party in Georgia's gubernatorial election (2026)
FutuurRegeln
Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If an independent candidate wins, the market will resolve to N/A.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 112,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 184,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 891.331 €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 505.856,3 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 384.309 €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 358.266,3 €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Dem +10 to Dem +20 mit 41% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election? entschieden?
- What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If an independent candidate wins, the market will resolve to N/A.