Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseMultiple shooters (actually fired weapons, not just involved) 62%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet15. Aug. 26, 17:51 UTC14. Sept. 26, 17:41 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Virginia State vs. South Carolina State
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
On Aug 15, a shooting occurred at Virginia State University, an historically Black university located near Richmond.
- See, e.g.: * Multiple people injured in shooting at Virginia State University * https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0l5583903yo
- This market is for specific propositions about this event.
- I've seeded it with common props for these markets, but please do add your own clear props; I'll do my best to judge them, although for added propositions I may ask the author's opinion.
- In some cases I will ask an AI agent to review multiple news sources for consensus.
- Market close in one month, but individual answers will close early if there is a consensus of credible reporting.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.566,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.350,6 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6819,5 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 498.593 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6136,1 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Virginia State University shooting facts?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Multiple shooters (actually fired weapons, not just involved) mit 62% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Virginia State University shooting facts entschieden?
- Virginia State University shooting facts soll am 14. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Virginia State University shooting facts abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On Aug 15, a shooting occurred at Virginia State University, an historically Black university located near Richmond.