Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.4%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 24, 06:25 UTC2. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
Manifold MarketsDiscord monthly active usership <100M Q4 2029?
Manifold MarketsLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWill Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpotify total monthly active users in 2026
KalshiSpotify monthly active users in Q3
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if Twitter (or X) crosses one billion monthly active users before 2030.
- Must be corroborated by at least 2 independent sources.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 961.071,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 741.910,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 701.281,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 685.821 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 907.202,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 entschieden?
- Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves Yes if Twitter (or X) crosses one billion monthly active users before 2030.