Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72%
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Veraltet14. Jan. 26, 23:22 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWhen will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRegeln
Given Gallups recent announcement to no longer track and publish approval ratings, I changing the criteria to be based on the NY Times:
- https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls.html
- Times also trends higher than Gallup so adjusting the target up 2 points.
- Leaving the original description below for posterity:
- This market resolves to true if Trump's approval rating during his second term falls below the lowest of any President since Nixon.
- GW Bush had the lowest at 25%, so this resolves to true if at any point in his second term his approval drops to 24% or below
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term entschieden?
- Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Given Gallups recent announcement to no longer track and publish approval ratings, I changing the criteria to be based on the NY Times: