Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.2%
Prognostiker
42
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet12. Juli 25, 22:21 UTC21. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhen will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Manifold MarketsHow much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
- [link preview]
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 112,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 184,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 891.331 €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 505.856,3 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 384.309 €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 358.266,3 €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? entschieden?
- Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.