Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?
PolitikGeopolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20262Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 60.3%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet12. Dez. 25, 01:55 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWidespread reports of ICE or DHS agents guarding polling stations during Trump II
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections will take place in November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if uniformed military personnel are deployed to polling stations during voting on election day or early voting periods. "Uniformed military" means active duty, National Guard, or Reserve personnel in official military attire.
- The deployment must be to the actual polling location or its immediate vicinity (within 100 feet).
- Resolution sources: News reports from major outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, etc.), official statements from the Department of Defense, state election officials, or court filings documenting such deployments.
- The market resolves NO if no such deployments occur.
