Trump Lost parliament Support Before 2028
HandelspolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlGeopolitikNaher OstenEuropaPolitik1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 92.7%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet23. Juni 26, 04:25 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by which date?
PolymarketWhich two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
Manifold MarketsThe next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️
Manifold MarketsWill the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?
Manifold MarketsRomanian parliament dissolved by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, any of the following events occur representing a loss of legislative or "parliamentary" support for U.S. President Donald Trump:
- Loss of Republican Majority in the U.S. Congress: The Republican Party loses majority control of either the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate (for example, as a result of the November 2026 midterm elections, or due to party defections/vacancies), resulting in a divided government.
- This will be verified via official election outcomes published by Ballotpedia or major news outlets.
- Official Rejection of Support by a Major Foreign Parliament: A major allied legislative body (such as the European Parliament or the UK House of Commons) passes a formal resolution or vote that explicitly halts cooperation on a major bilateral initiative or treaty with the Trump administration (such as suspending the EU-US tariff agreement).
- This will be verified via official parliamentary records.
