Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore Q3 2027 33.8%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet5. Aug. 26, 18:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 19:25 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027
Manifold MarketsTrump gets impeached by January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsTrump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market is of type DATE and will resolve to the date on which Donald Trump next engages in sexual intercourse (vaginal, anal, or oral sex) with another person.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will rely on credible mainstream media reporting, court depositions/filings, official memoirs, or public statements by either Trump or the other involved party that are widely accepted as factual by reputable news organizations.
- Uncorroborated tabloid rumors will not be sufficient.
- Determination of Date: The market will resolve to the actual date the sexual act occurred, rather than the date it was publicly reported.
- If only a range of dates is confirmed, the midpoint of that range will be used.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 693.010,4 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.941,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump gets laid next by?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before Q3 2027 mit 34% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump gets laid next by entschieden?
- Trump gets laid next by soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump gets laid next by abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria